Recently, China Power Union released "Operation Brief of power Industry from January to August 2017", the report pointed out that China's newly installed photovoltaic grid-connected capacity reached 3.36GW in August, and the newly installed capacity reached 38.28GW in August, with a year-on-year growth of 42%, exceeding the installed capacity of the whole year in 2016. From the itu report, you can see that after the year 630 the bluffs overlooking photovoltaic market did not appear last year after the 630 fall, the main reason is that distributed market scale expanding rapidly this year, July and August installation size up to 5 GW respectively, 1.4 GW, August 1 - a distributed installation of new power is about 13.51 GW, as the installed capacity of 4.2 times for all of last year, accounting for 35% of the new power capacity this year.
By the end of August, China's historical accumulative photovoltaic installed capacity has reached 126GW, achieving the target of 105GW in the 13th Five-Year plan ahead of schedule. However, in August, China's National Energy Administration revised its 13th five-year pv installation plan, adding 54.5GW of conventional power stations. The paceholder's target is 8GW per year and 32GW in four years, bringing the total to 86.5GW. It is expected that in the next 3 years, the annual domestic installed capacity will reach 35~40GW.
Domestic total installed capacity and future market capacity by August 2018
Multiple factors stimulate photovoltaic installation:
First, photovoltaic poverty alleviation
On August 1, the National Energy Administration and the National Poverty Relief Office issued a notice concerning the compilation of the 13th Five-Year Plan for photovoltaic poverty alleviation, clearly proposing to vigorously promote photovoltaic poverty alleviation. In September, 10 provinces explicitly applied all the scale indicators of 2017 to photovoltaic poverty alleviation, with a cumulative scale of 6.2GW. Liaoning, Heilongjiang and Sichuan also issued documents to include poverty alleviation work in their annual construction scale. Considering that the remaining provinces will still have some poverty alleviation targets, it is estimated that the total scale of centralized photovoltaic poverty alleviation power stations may exceed 10 GW in 2017. Considering village poverty alleviation power stations below 300kW, the number of poverty alleviation projects installed in the fourth quarter will reach at least 6GW.
Second, distributed subsidies downgrading
In September 2016, the national development and reform commission in the informed about new energy benchmarking feed-in tariff adjustment (draft) "for the first time explicitly put forward appropriate to lower the standard of distributed photovoltaic subsidies, subsidies standards are: a class of resources area 0.2 yuan/kWh, 2 kinds of resource area 0.25 yuan/kWh, three kinds of resources area 0.3 yuan/kWh, lasted for four years of distributed subsidies there is a strong possibility. If the distributed volume is reduced from January 1, next year, it will stimulate the rush of distributed photovoltaic installation. The distributed installation volume in the first 8 months will be similar, and the installation volume in the fourth quarter will exceed 5GW.
3. Ordinary ground power stations
At the end of 2016, the National Energy Administration approved provinces reported supplement ground power index, a total of 13.7 GW, August 17 years, energy bureau report according to the provincial much starker choices-and graver consequences-in too can install planning, increase again ground power index 14.4 GW, 17 years accumulated common ground power index of 28.1 GW, remove 10 indexes all assigned to poverty alleviation project of 6.2 GW, 17 years available ground station index for a total of 21.9 GW, residual electrical ground
