Interpretation of China Energy Report (2018) : A Study on the Green Transformation of Energy-intensive Sectors
On January 13, 2019, professor Wei Yiming Shared the research result of The Energy and Environmental Policy Research Center of Beijing Institute of Technology China Energy Report (2018) : A Study on the Green Transformation of energy-intensive Sectors at the 2019 Energy Economic Forecast and Outlook Research Report. The report focuses on energy-intensive sectors such as electricity, steel, cement, chemicals, construction and transport, and conducts systematic studies on major issues related to their green transformation :(1) assess the level of green development in energy-intensive sectors; (2) Explored the potential and development path of green transformation in energy-intensive sectors; (3) Foresee the technological frontier of energy supply, processing, conversion, storage and transportation, energy use and terminal management; (4) Simulated the green transformation policies of China's energy-intensive sectors.
This report has the following important findings :(1) the future electricity demand growth space is large but the growth rate is slow, under the socio-economic transformation scenario is expected to reach the peak of 12.0 trillion KWH in 2041. CO2 emissions from the power industry are expected to peak in 2023, and SO2 and NOx emissions will peak around 2020. Market reforms and the cross-regional transmission of clean power will help promote the green transition. (2) The steel industry demand is expected to peak before 2020, and it will fluctuate with the changes of construction stock and steel decommissioning. The elimination of backward production capacity, the development of short-process steelmaking, energy-saving technological transformation and technological innovation can help the steel industry to reach the peak of emissions as soon as possible. (3) Cement output and CO2 emissions have reached the peak in 2016, but there will be short-term shocks in the later period, among which advanced technological transformation, fuel replacement and raw material replacement will promote green transformation. (4) In the chemical industry, the growth potential of traditional chemical products such as calcium carbide and caustic soda is limited, while the output of high value-added products such as olefins and aromatics will continue to increase, and high-end poly will be developed
